November 2006


It worked for me last week, so I’m doing it again this week. I’m making picks like a duel at high noon; drawing both irons and squeezing ’till their empty or I’m looking at sky.

Winners are bold:

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals
Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams
Atlanta Falcons at Washington Redskins
Detroit Lions at New England Patriots
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
N.Y. Jets at Green Bay Packers - I have a good feeling about this one.
San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints
Houston Texans at Oakland Raiders - The Whos Watching Bowl
Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins - Miami’s surging while Jacksonville has chinks in the armor.
Dallas Cowboys at N.Y. Giants - Two Mannings on the mantle would be so much nicer than just one.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos - Jay Cutler cuts his teeth on the reassembled ‘Hawks.
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Iggles
My previous record:

Week 12: 14-2 - Looks like I’m buying the LARGE fries tonight!
Week 11: 9-7
Week 10: 9-7
Week 9: 10-4
Week 8: 8-6
Week 7: 5-8
Week 6: 8-5
Week 5: 10-4
Week 4: 11-3
Week 3: 10-4
Week 2: 12-4

Total for the season: 106-53

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Even thinking about the 2006 NFL wildcard playoff spots and the Green Bay Packers together has the sounds of Jim Mora Sr. running through my head.

Playoffs?

Like my previous post, mathematically they’re still in the wildcard playoff hunt, but I know in my calculations I left a big remainder lying around here somewhere. I don’t have the time I’d need to run the possibilities, other than to say that the Packers need to run the table and get help from the eight other teams vying for the 2 wildcard spots open in the NFC.

And unlike your high school days, where with a doughnut and a smile you might be able to sweet-talk the overweight teacher’s aide into giving you the answer’s to the test, this math test is closed-book. NOT multiple choice. Show all your work.

We’re toast.

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Admit it.

When you turned on Monday Night Football and saw the field covered in snow, you thought Ahman Green was going to calculate the 2-3 worst times to put the ball on the ground, then with sickening precision work his formulaic magic, killing a big drive or stopping momentum like a head shot on an eight-pointer. Thump.

But it never happened. Then again, maybe coach McCarthy was thinking the same thing, and that was why Green only touched the ball 14 times, while his opposing counterpart (the Seahawk’s Shaun Alexander), running on a freshly minted hoof, was able to gallup through the Packers defense like a stallion through the morning mist.

At the outset I liked the game plan - keep the ball largely out of Green’s hands and in Favre’s; either our receivers are going to catch the ball or nobody is. And it worked for the better part of the first half, except for one forced pass to Bubba Franks.

And they led by as much as 9 points in the second half, but Hasselbeck and Alexander were getting their sea legs back under them around that time. From there it was simple rock-pounding.

Packers shouldn't lost to teams that lost to teams they've beaten.  Right?All in all the math just didn’t add up - the Seattle Seahawks had yet to show even an interest in defending their NFC Champion status, winning only one game convincingly since week 3 (and that was against the Raiders). They had lost to San Francisco, who’d lost to Arizona in week 1, 34-27. The Green Bay Packers beat the AZ Cardinals 31-14. Holmgren hasn’t shown any particular skill at beating his old team (remember the overtime Hasselbeck gaff? “We’ll take the ball and we’re gonna win!”), and we were winning the thing partway through the third.

It just don’t add up!

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